THE
"DAILY BREAD" FOR THE MARKET
Daily
Morning Insights on the Market
<---day
Thirty--->
MARKET
SUMMARY FOR MONDAY SEPTEMBER 27TH. 1999
DOW
INDUSTRIAL: 10303.39 = +24.06
NASDAQ: 2761.75 = +21.34
S & P 500: 1283.31 = +5.95
MOST
ACTIVE STOCKS & SECTORS Gold
Mining, Technology and some Internet issues rallied.
Strong gainers included: AOL, Battle mtn. Gold,
Asarco, AT&T, Lucent Technologies, Motorola,
Cypress Amax, Placer Dome, Compaq, Westvaco, Primedia,
Teradyne, Walden Residential, Newmont Min., Intel,
Natwest Group, Dell, Microsoft, Altheon Websystems,
Sun Microsystems, CMGI, and Photoelectron.
MAIN
REASONS FOR ACTIVITY
- European
Central Banks have tentatively agreed not to sell
their gold reserves.
- The
dollar appreciated strongly after the G-7 meeting,
and Japan's (hinted) willingness to defend it.
- Bargain
hunting by investors, especially in large Internet
holding companies and portals.
- Federal
Reserve Governors not hinting on a rate increase
in the coming meeting.
PICKS
FOR THE NEXT MARKET DAY
NASDAQ:
Technology, Telecommunications, and some Internets
will gain. Companies like: Applied Materials, Cisco
Systems, Excite, Microsoft, Novell, Covad Communications,
Apple, ebay, CMGI, Dell, Oracle, MCI Worldcomm, Intel,
Sun Microsystems, Looksmart, E*Trade, Qualcomm, and
Yahoo.
NYSE:
Telecommunications, Manufacturing, and Technology
stocks like: AOL, Bank One, Citigroup, DaimlerChrysler,
3Com, GE, GTE, Sprint, Hewlett Packard, JP Morgan,
Merrill Lynch, Lucent Technologies (LU), Micron Technology,
Cabletron Systems, Texas Instruments, Gateway, Compaq,
AT&T, IBM, Tektronix, E.I. Dupont, Nortel Networks,
EMC Corp., Pfizer, Merck & co., P&G, Chevron,
Philips Petroleum, Phillip Morris, RJ Reynolds, Elf
Aquaintaine, BP, Exxon, Schlumberger, Texaco, Mobil,
Xerox, and ZDNet will do well.
REASONS
BEHIND THE PICKS
- I
expect today's rally to continue as investors
go bargain hunting.
- Gold
related stocks will rally today too, as the metal
gains its glitter
- Technology
and major Internet portals are still very cheap.
- Up
coming Internet IPOs will keep the rest of the
week upbeat.
- Oil
and Energy related issues will continue to rise
for the rest of the year.
<---day Twenty Nine--->
MARKET
SUMMARY FOR FRIDAY SEPTEMBER 24TH. 1999
DOW INDUSTRIAL: 10279.33 = -39.26
NASDAQ: 2740.41 = -9.42
S & P 500: 1277.36 = -3.41
MOST
ACTIVE STOCKS & SECTORS
Some
Technology and Internet issues rebounded to close
the week on a high note. Strong gainers included:
AOL, Citigroup, AT&T, Micron Technology, Texas
Instruments, Analog Devices, CVS corp., IBM, Newmont
Min., IMS Health, Natwest Group, Dell, ebay, Amazon.com,
Altheon Websystems, Sun Microsystems, Qualcomm, and
Yahoo.
MAIN
REASONS FOR ACTIVITY
- The
recent increases to AOL have been due to announced
subscription rate increases.
- The
dollar continues the slide.
- Bond
markets gain as existing house sells slow; All
this leads to benign (and frustrating) economic
data.
- Continued
earnings warning. This time, Allstate (expect
other insurers very soon), due to hurricane Floyd.
PICKS
FOR THE NEXT MARKET DAY
NASDAQ:
Technology, Telecommunications, and some Internets
will gain. Companies like: Applied Materials, Cisco
Systems, Excite, Microsoft, Novell, Covad Communications,
Apple, ebay, Fatbrain.com, Dell, Oracle, MCI, Intel,
Sun Microsystems, Looksmart, E*Trade, Qualcomm, and
Yahoo.
NYSE:
Telecommunications, Manufacturing, and Technology
stocks like: AOL, Bank One, Citigroup, DaimlerChrysler,
3Com, GE, GTE, Sprint, Hewlett Packard, JP Morgan,
Merrill Lynch, Lucent Technologies (LU), Micron Technology,
Cabletron Systems, Texas Instruments, Gateway, Compaq,
AT&T, IBM, Tektronix, E.I. Dupont, Nortel Networks,
EMC, Pfizer, Merck & co., P&G, Chevron, Philips
Petroleum, Phillip Morris, RJ Reynolds, Elf Aquaintaine,
BP, Exxon, Schlumberger, Texaco, Mobil, Xerox, and
ZDNet will do well.
REASONS
BEHIND THE PICKS
- A
possible MCI Worldcomm and Sprint merger is good
for all parties involved.
- Bargains!
Bargains! Bargains!
- I
DO NOT view the market as overpriced. We keep
trying to force the market to overcorrect, but
to no avail. Like it or not, we are in a new frontier!
- Technology
and major Internet portals will gain because they
are cheap.
- Networking
and semiconductor manufacturers will gain.
- Oil
and Energy related issues will continue to rise
for the rest of the year.
<---day Twenty Eight--->
MARKET
SUMMARY FOR THURSDAY SEPTEMBER 23RD. 1999
DOW INDUSTRIAL: 10318.59 = -205.48
NASDAQ: 2749.83 = -108.33
S & P 500: 1280.77 = -29.74
MOST
ACTIVE STOCKS & SECTORS
Market
performed poorly today, especially Technology and
Internet issues. Strong gainers included: Citigroup,
Union Carbide, Too inc., Tricon Global Restaurants,
Interactive Intelligence, and eGain Communications.
MAIN
REASONS FOR ACTIVITY
- Microsoft
President Steve Ballmar's comments about Technology
stocks being overvalued stumbled the market.
- M2
Money supply for last month rose, while the dollar
continued its slide today; These are all bad inflationary
signs (at least to some analysts).
- The
proposed merger of EarthLink and MindSpring ISPs
couldn't pull the market.
PICKS
FOR THE NEXT MARKET DAY
NASDAQ:
Technology, Telecommunications, and some Internets
will gain. Companies like: Applied Materials, Cisco
Systems, Excite, Microsoft, Novell, Covad Communications,
Apple, ebay, Fatbrain.com, Dell, Oracle, MCI, Intel,
Sun Microsystems, Looksmart, E*Trade, Qualcomm, and
Yahoo.
NYSE:
Telecommunications, Manufacturing, and Technology
stocks like: AOL, Bank One, Citigroup, DaimlerChrysler,
3Com, GE, GTE, Hewlett Packard, JP Morgan, Merrill
Lynch, Lucent Technologies (LU), Micron Technology,
Cabletron Systems, Texas Instruments, Gateway, Compaq,
AT&T, IBM, Tektronix, E.I. Dupont, Nortel Networks,
EMC, Pfizer, Merck & co., P&G, Chevron, Philips
Petroleum, Phillip Morris, RJ Reynolds, Elf Aquaintaine,
BP, Exxon, Schlumberger, Texaco, Mobil, Xerox, and
ZDNet will do well.
REASONS
BEHIND THE PICKS
- I
am still behind my picks. Hopefully, corporate
leaders won't spook the markets again.
- The
dollar's fall may not be affecting the economy
as much as assumed, at least for exporters.
- I
DO NOT view the market as overpriced. Welcome
to the new frontier!
- Analysts
are overacting about many of the earning warnings.
- Technology
and major Internet portals will gain (without
corporate spooks of course).
- Networking
and semiconductor manufacturers will gain.
- Oil
and Energy related issues will continue to rise
for the rest of the year.
<---day Twenty Seven--->
MARKET
SUMMARY FOR WEDNESDAY SEPTEMBER 22ND. 1999
DOW INDUSTRIAL: 10524.07 = -74.40
NASDAQ: 2858.16 = +37.06
S & P 500: 1310.51 = +2.93
MOST
ACTIVE STOCKS & SECTORS
Technology
and Internet issues rallied today. Strong gainers
included: AOL, Armco, Asarco, Apache, Countrywide
Credit, Micron Technology, Citigroup, Pfizer, Compaq,
GTE, Sprint, Microsoft, Intel, Cisco Systems, Sun
Microsystems, 3Com, Double Click, Broadbase Software,
E-piphany, ebay, and Yahoo.
MAIN
REASONS FOR ACTIVITY
- Federal
Reserve noted a "brisk" growth, but
not too inflationary.
- The
dollar's demise continued today, making many analysts
nervous.
- Continued
earnings warning. This time, Coca Cola.
PICKS
FOR THE NEXT MARKET DAY
NASDAQ:
Technology, Telecommunications, and some Internets
will gain. Companies like: Applied Materials, Cisco
Systems, Excite, Microsoft, Novell, Covad Communications,
Apple, ebay, Fatbrain.com, Dell, Oracle, MCI, Intel,
Sun Microsystems, Looksmart, E*Trade, Qualcomm, and
Yahoo.
NYSE:
Telecommunications, Manufacturing, and Technology
stocks like: AOL, Bank One, Citigroup, DaimlerChrysler,
3Com, GE, GTE, Hewlett Packard, JP Morgan, Merrill
Lynch, Lucent Technologies (LU), Micron Technology,
Cabletron Systems, Texas Instruments, Gateway, Compaq,
AT&T, IBM, Tektronix, E.I. Dupont, Nortel Networks,
EMC, Pfizer, Merck & co., P&G, Chevron, Philips
Petroleum, Phillip Morris, RJ Reynolds, Elf Aquaintaine,
BP, Exxon, Schlumberger, Texaco, Mobil, Xerox, and
ZDNet will do well.
REASONS
BEHIND THE PICKS
- The
dollar's fall may not be affecting the economy
as much as assumed, at least for exporters.
- The
Federal Reserve's comment about a brisk, but non-inflationary
economy is encouraging.
- Analysts
are overacting about many of the earning warnings.
- Technology
and major Internet portals will gain as economic
outlook improves around the world.
- Xerox
to buy color copier unit of Tektronix and compete
against Hewlett Packard.
- Networking
and semiconductor manufacturers will gain.
- O.P.E.C.
Ministers' meeting ended with an agreement to
hold their quarters; Look forward to more oil
prices and related stocks to rise.
<---day Twenty Six--->
MARKET
SUMMARY FOR TUESDAY SEPTEMBER 21ST. 1999
DOW INDUSTRIAL: 10598.47 = -225.43
NASDAQ: 2821.10 = -65.05
S & P 500: 1307.58 = -27.95
MOST
ACTIVE STOCKS & SECTORS
Some
Internet issues rallied in a very poor market today.
Strong gainers included: AOL, Bell Atlantic, Newmont
Mining, Pepsi Bottling, MCI Worldcomm, Leap Wireless,
Wendy's International, ebay, and Yahoo.
MAIN
REASONS FOR ACTIVITY
- July
saw a record trade deficit increase.
- The
dollar plummeted as the Bank of Japan's meeting
ended with no plans to prop the dollar.
- Bond
prices also lost after Bank of Japan's meeting.
- Continued
earnings warning. This time, goodyear.
PICKS
FOR THE NEXT MARKET DAY
NASDAQ:
Technology, Telecommunications, and some Internets
will gain. Companies like: Applied Materials, Cisco
Systems, Excite, Microsoft, Novell, Apple, Dell, Oracle,
MCI, Intel, Sun Microsystems, Looksmart, E*Trade,
Qualcomm, and Yahoo.
NYSE:
Telecommunications, Manufacturing, and Technology
stocks like: Bank One, Citigroup, DaimlerChrysler,
3Com, GE, Hewlett Packard, JP Morgan, Merrill Lynch,
Lucent Technologies (LU), Micron Technology, Cabletron
Systems, Texas Instruments, Compaq, AT&T, IBM,
E.I. Dupont, Nortel Networks, EMC, Pfizer, Merck &
co., P&G, Chevron, Philips Petroleum, Phillip
Morris, RJ Reynolds, BP, Exxon, Schlumberger, Texaco,
Mobil, and ZDNet will do well.
REASONS
BEHIND THE PICKS
- Technology
and major Internet portals will gain as economic
outlook improves around the world.
- The
dollar's appreciation can keep inflation in check.
- Networking
and semiconductor manufacturers will gain.
- Oil
and related stocks will rise as oil prices and
mergers surge in the sector.
<---day Twenty Five--->
MARKET
SUMMARY FOR MONDAY SEPTEMBER 20TH. 1999
DOW INDUSTRIAL: 10823.00 = +20.27
NASDAQ: 2886.15 = +16.53
S & P 500: 1335.53 = +0.11
MOST
ACTIVE STOCKS & SECTORS
Technology
and some Internet issues rallied. Strong gainers included:
Aerial Communications, Compaq, Citigroup, EMC Corp.,
Gateway, GE, ZDnet Group, IBM, Micron Technology,
Philip Morris, Philips Petroleum, MCI Worldcomm, Sun
Microsystems, Microsoft, PurchasePro.Com, and Yahoo.
MAIN
REASONS FOR ACTIVITY
- Chevron
is to buy Philips Petroleum.
- The
dollar continues to firm, and so is the bond market.
- Friday's
rally continued today, despite a low market activity
due to the Jewish holiday.
- Earning
warnings were issued by Apple Computers, Dole,
and Quaker Oats.
PICKS
FOR THE NEXT MARKET DAY
NASDAQ:
Technology, Telecommunications, and some Internets
will gain. Companies like: Applied Materials, Cisco
Systems, Excite, Microsoft, Novell, Apple, Dell, Oracle,
MCI, Intel, Sun Microsystems, Looksmart, E*Trade,
Qualcomm, and Yahoo.
NYSE:
Telecommunications, Manufacturing, and Technology
stocks like: Bank One, Citigroup, DaimlerChrysler,
3Com, GE, Hewlett Packard, JP Morgan, Merrill Lynch,
Lucent Technologies (LU), Micron Technology, Cabletron
Systems, Texas Instruments, Compaq, AT&T, IBM,
E.I. Dupont, Nortel Networks, EMC, Pfizer, Merck &
co., P&G, Chevron, Philips Petroleum, Phillip
Morris, RJ Reynolds, BP, Exxon, Schlumberger, Texaco,
Mobil, and ZDNet will do well.
REASONS
BEHIND THE PICKS
- Bank
of Japan will work on strenghtening the US dollar;
This is good news for Telecommunications and Technology
stocks.
- Technology
and major Internet portals will gain as economic
outlook improves around the world.
- The
dollar's appreciation can keep inflation in check.
- Networking
and semiconductor manufacturers will gain.
- Oil
and related stocks will rise as oil prices and
mergers surge in the sector.
<---day Twenty Four--->
MARKET
SUMMARY FOR FRIDAY SEPTEMBER 17TH. 1999
DOW INDUSTRIAL: 10803.63 = +66.17
NASDAQ: 2869.62 = +62.90
S & P 500: 1335.42 = +16.94
MOST
ACTIVE STOCKS & SECTORS
Stocks
rose sharply after a Three slump as Technology and
Telecommunications issues rallied. Strong gainers
included: AT&T, Cypress Semiconductor, Citigroup,
Gateway, Qualcomm, Exxon, ZDnet Group, Tektronix,
Lucent Technologies, Time Warner, MCI Worldcomm, Sun
Microsystems, Microsoft, Dell, Applied Materials,
FashionMall.Com, and Vitrio.
MAIN
REASONS FOR ACTIVITY
- Housing
starts were up in August; Analysts expected a
drop.
- The
dollar rallied against major currencies.
- Feds
chair Mr. Greenspan's comments that there is no
definate sign for a rate hike yet.
- Cypress
Semiconductor to buy a unit of Intel corp.
- Energy
dependent industries' stocks like Airlines and
Power continue to be less attractive to investors.
PICKS
FOR THE NEXT MARKET DAY
NASDAQ:
Technology, Telecommunications, and some Internets
will gain. Companies like: Applied Materials, Excite,
Microsoft, Novell, Apple, Dell, Oracle, MCI, Intel,
Sun Microsystems, Looksmart, E*Trade, Qualcomm, and
Cisco Systems
NYSE:
Telecommunications, Manufacturing, and Technology
stocks like: Citigroup, DaimlerChrysler, 3Com, GE,
Hewlett Packard, Lucent Technologies (LU), Micron
Technology, Cabletron Systems, Texas Instruments,
Compaq, AT&T, IBM, E.I. Dupont, Nortel Networks,
EMC, Elf Aquaintaine, Monsanto, Pfizer, Merck &
co., P&G, Cypress Semiconductor, Northrop Grumman,
Phillip Morris, RJ Reynolds, BP, Exxon, Schlumberger,
Texaco, Mobil, and ZDNet will do well.
REASONS
BEHIND THE PICKS
- Northrop
Grumman just won a multi-billion dollar defence
contract.
- Technology
and major Internet portals will gain as economic
outlook improves around the world.
- The
dollar's appreciation can keep inflation in check.
- We
still feel the market is not overvalued. Rather,
many Technology, Telecommunications and some Internets
are still bargains.
- Networking
and semiconductor manufacturers will gain as the
Asian economy improves.
- Oil
and related stocks will rise as oil prices continue
to surge up.
- Intel's
sell to Cypress Semiconductor is mutually beneficial
to both parties.
<---day Twenty Three--->
MARKET
SUMMARY FOR THURSDAY SEPTEMBER 16TH. 1999
DOW INDUSTRIAL: 10737.46 = -63.96
NASDAQ: 2806.72 = -7.45
S & P 500: 1318.48 = +0.51
MOST
ACTIVE STOCKS & SECTORS
Continued
inflation and consequent interest rates hike resulted
in a poor trading day. Strong gainers included: AT&T,
Comsat, Citigroup, Compaq, Qualcomm, American Home
Products, Gucci Group, Lucent Technologies, Time Warner,
General Instruments, Micron Technology, Microsoft,
Dell, Applied Materials, Garden.com, and Yahoo.
MAIN
REASONS FOR ACTIVITY
- Some
Technology and Internet stocks, especially those
with Asian presence picked up as the Asian recovery
continues.
- The
dollar firmed against the Japanese yen in today's
trading.
- Earning
warnings of some blue chip companies kept analysts
agitated.
- M2
money supply dropped in the previous period, thus
increasing the chances of the feds NOT raising
interest rates.
- Energy
dependent industries' stocks dropped as oil prices
escalate.
- Cable
and Telecommunications gained as AT&T announced
a global Wireless alliance.
PICKS
FOR THE NEXT MARKET DAY
NASDAQ:
Technology, Telecommunications, and some Internets
will gain. Companies like: Applied Materials, Excite,
e-Net, NetSilicon, Microsoft, Novell, Apple, Dell,
Oracle, MCI, Intel, Sun Microsystems, Visio, Looksmart,
E*Trade, Qualcomm, and Cisco Systems
NYSE:
Telecommunications, Manufacturing, and Technology
stocks like: Best Foods, Citigroup, DaimlerChrysler,
3Com, GE, Hewlett Packard, Lucent Technologies (LU),
Micron Technology, Cabletron Systems, Texas Instruments,
Compaq, AT&T, IBM, E.I. Dupont, Nortel Networks,
EMC, Elf Aquaintaine, Monsanto, Pfizer, Merck &
co., P&G, Phillip Morris, RJ Reynolds, BP, Exxon,
Texaco, and Mobil will do well.
REASONS
BEHIND THE PICKS
- Stocks
like GE, DaimlerChrysler and AT&T will gain
due to acquisitions, labor settlements and alliances
respectively.
- Technology
and major Internet portals will gain as economic
outlook improves around the world.
- The
dollar's appreciation can keep inflation in check,
and reduce rates hike chances.
- Networking
and semiconductor manufacturers will gain as the
Asian economy improves.
- Microsoft's
acquisition of Visio will be a win win situation
for shareholders.
- Blue
chip stocks will do well due to inflation uncertainty,
especially those in "necessary" industries
like food, toiletteries, drugs, etc.
<---day Twenty Two-->
MARKET
SUMMARY FOR WEDNESDAY SEPTEMBER 15TH. 1999
DOW INDUSTRIAL: 10801.42 = -108.91
NASDAQ: 2814.17 = -54.12
S & P 500: 1317.97 = -18.32
MOST
ACTIVE STOCKS & SECTORS
Market
was poor on all fronts due to benign economic data
and signals. Strong gainers included: Best Foods,
Qualcomm, Cash America, e-Net, NetSilicon, Nu Skin,
and Union Carbide.
MAIN
REASONS FOR ACTIVITY
- The
CPI rose 0.3%. Though core CPI rose less than
expected 0.1%, the market's fears still came through
loudly.
- Major
gainers on NASDAQ were IPOs.
- The
US Dollar continues to slide against the Yen,
further adding to inflationary pressures.
- The
market doesn't seem to be impressed with the recent
mega mergers.
PICKS
FOR THE NEXT MARKET DAY
NASDAQ:
Technology, Telecommunications, and some Internets
will gain. Companies like: Applied Materials, Excite,
e-Net, NetSilicon, Microsoft, Novell, Apple, Dell,
Oracle, MCI, Intel, Sun Microsystems, Visio, Looksmart,
E*Trade, Qualcomm, and Cisco Systems
NYSE:
Telecommunications, Manufacturing, and Technology
stocks like: Best Foods, Citigroup, DaimlerChrysler,
3Com, GE, Hewlett Packard, Lucent Technologies (LU),
Micron Technology, Cabletron Systems, Texas Instruments,
Compaq, AT&T, IBM, E.I. Dupont, Nortel Networks,
EMC, Elf Aquaintaine, Kroger, Monsanto, Pfizer, Merck
& co., P&G, Phillip Morris, RJ Reynolds, BP,
Exxon, Texaco, and Mobil will do well.
REASONS
BEHIND THE PICKS
- I
do not see a market over-valuation, I see analysts'
over-reaction.
- For
longterm investors, networking stocks like Oracle
are good buys now as the market "over corrects"
due to low quarterly earnings.
- Microsoft's
acquisition of Visio will be a win win situation
for shareholders.
- Blue
chip stocks will do well due to inflation uncertainty,
especially those in "necessary" industries
like food, toiletteries, drugs, etc.
<---day Twenty One--->
MARKET
SUMMARY FOR TUESDAY SEPTEMBER 14TH. 1999
DOW INDUSTRIAL: 10910.33 = -120.00
NASDAQ: 2868.29 = +23.52
S & P 500: 1336.29 = -7.84
MOST
ACTIVE STOCKS & SECTORS
Technology,
especially Networking equipment and Semiconductor
firms did very well. Strong gainers included: AOL,
Healthsouth, Microsoft, Qualcomm, Micron Technology,
Lucent Technologies, Applied Materials, Texas Instruments,
Motorola, IBM, Cisco Systems, Intel, Cabletron Systems,
Sprint, Kroger, PurchasePro.Com, and Global Telesys.
MAIN
REASONS FOR ACTIVITY
- Retails
sales for August rose stronger-than-expected at
1.2%, igniting inflation & rates hike fears.
- Trade
data released shows a trade deficit increase of
17%, a new record for same time period.
- The
US Dollar continues to slide against the Yen,
further adding to inflationary pressures.
- Recent
Mergers & Acquisitions in Networks related
companies was rewarded today.
PICKS
FOR THE NEXT MARKET DAY
NASDAQ:
Technology, Telecommunications, and some Internets
will gain. Companies like: Applied Materials, Microsoft,
Novell, Apple, Dell, Oracle, MCI, Intel, Sun Microsystems,
ubid, Looksmart, E*Trade, Qualcomm, Global Telesys,
and Cisco Systems
NYSE:
Telecommunications, Manufacturing, and Technology
stocks like: Citigroup, 3Com, GE, Hewlett Packard,
Lucent Technologies (LU), Micron Technology, Cabletron
Systems, Texas Instruments, Compaq, AT&T, IBM,
E.I. Dupont, Nortel Networks, EMC, Elf Aquaintaine,
Kroger, Motorola, Monsanto, Pfizer, Merck & co.,
P&G, Phillip Morris, RJ Reynolds, BP, Exxon, Texaco,
and Mobil will do well.
REASONS
BEHIND THE PICKS
- Networking
related stocks will perform better as the "e-economy"
recovers around the world.
- Oil
and energy related stocks will rise for a while
as mergers and OPEC discipline change the landscape.
- Blue
chip stocks will do well due to inflation uncertainty,
especially those in "necessary" industries
like food, toiletteries, drugs, etc.
"Daily
Bread" brought to you by the Economics Department,
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